Why North Carolina will be the Most Important State in 2020

Why North Carolina will be the Most Important State in 2020

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Purpose of the channel:
I am a political science major who spends all my free time learning about contemporary US politics. I have a distinct interest in the study of US elections and campaigns which is the focus of my channel. My most common videos consist of me filling out a Presidential electoral map with different color classifications for each state that represent how competitive I think each state will be. Still, I do many other videos that cover the US Senate elections, US House elections, Vice Presidential selection, how each candidate’s campaign strategy, hypothetical Presidential matchups in the future and in the past, analysis of primary and general election.
Common Q and A:
► What are my ratings for my electoral maps (lean, likely, etc.)?
Tilt: Less than 2%, Lean: 2-5%, Likely: 5-12%, Safe: 12%+
► Will I continue with my Youtube channel after the 2020 elections?
► What will I change your name to after the 2020 elections are over?
I will let my subscribers vote on this, but I am leaning toward “Ben’s Election Predictions” right now
► What are my personal political views?
I choose not to broadcast them to my audience for the purpose of this channel. I try to be as unbiased as possible because I believe that lends credibility to my channel.
► What website do I use for my electoral projections?
YAPMS.com or 270toWin.com
► How often do I upload?
Usually once or twice a day
► When do I typically go live?
Usually once or twice a week towards the evening. I will announce when I do so though.
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#trump2020 #biden2020

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#North #Carolina #Important #State

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About the Author: 2020 Election Predictions


  1. This video shows a fundamental lack of knowledge of the generations who are older than the producer. I like Ben. I just think he's hitching his wagon to a train wreck douche.

  2. I don't think Tillis will gain voters by hitching himself to Trump. Trump's polling and approval ratings in NC have been in the lower to mid 40's and you need higher to win. Tillis needs the GOP base and Independents or non affiliated voters to help him. There has been 10 to 15 undecided voters in the senate race which tells me there could be cross over voting cause there is much less of a gap of undecided voters in the NC presidential polls. Otherwise you'd see a smaller gap in the Senate race if voters were voting straight down ticket.

  3. You're obsessed with playing this "horserace" narrative that can't possibly be true in this high turnout election. Trump's going to get smashed. Come on man.

  4. Just as a point of interest, there are many fascinating conclusions which can be gleaned from early voting in North Carolina. As of Sunday October 18, 2020, there have been some numbers released regarding the election. So far a total of 1,433,778 votes have been cast in the state. Democrats lead with 665,013 votes, or 46.4% of the votes. Republicans trail with 355,632 votes, or 24.8%. Minor parties have 5,121 with 0.4%. No party affiliation has a stunning 408,012 votes, which represents 28.5% of all votes. (Source: U.S. Elections Project)
    Contrast these numbers to the 2016 election. Clinton won 2,189,316 votes to trump's 2,362,564 votes. The total number of 2016 votes was 4,741,564 .
    When you analyze these numbers, it is obvious that 2020 is a completely different year than 2016. Just so far, the total number of early votes represents 30% of ALL votes cast in 2016. This also represents 30% of all the Democrats votes in 2016. However, it only represents 15% of the Republican 2016 votes. What is most fascinating is that 'no party affiliation' represents almost one third of all votes cast so far. This suggests that 'nones' may have a very relevant impact on the election. Whoever this group most heavily breaks for may be the winner in North Carolina. (Source: ballotpedia).

    While these stunning numbers may not determine the outcome of the election in North Carolina, it is hard to deny that they will have a major impact.
    It is possible that things will change rather dramatically in the next two weeks, but the signs look pretty good for Biden at this point. Remember that high voter turnout generally benefits Democrats.
    However, 2020 may be a unique year and turn all past implications on their head.

    Maybe you can do a video analyzing the potential outcome from historically high voter turnout from both parties.

    That is, if you still read viewer comments. If you don't, then never mind– carry on.

    Good video. Please continue using data whenever possible.

  5. Here are the Socialists and far-left radical Democrats who are supporting & fundraising for Biden/Harris.

    llhan Omar, Rashida Talib, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, Maxine Waters, Nancy Pelosi, Bernie Sanders, Elizabeth Warren, Karen Bass (Leader Congressional Black Caucus), Val Demings, Valerie Jarrett, Richard Blumenthal, Stacy Abrams, Cory Booker, Al Green, Ayanna Pressley, Sheila Jackson Lee, Pramila Jayapal, Chuck Schumer.

    What do these leftist Mayors & Governors listed below have in common?

    All are Democrats, all kept their economy closed as long as they could (many still are) and all ordered police in their cities to stand down allowing the city to be looted, burned. citizens beat in the streets, killings, monuments destroyed, All support Biden.

    Ralph Northam (Gov VA) Tom Wolf (Gov PA), Jim Kenney (Mayor Philadelphia), JB Pritzker (Gov Il), Lori Lightfoot (Mayor Chicago), Gavin Newsom (Gov CA) Kate Brown (Gov OR), Ted Wheeler (Mayor Portland OR), Jay Inslee (Gov WA), Jenny Durkan (Mayor Seattle), Andrew Cuomo (Gov NY), Bill Di Blasio, (Mayor NY) Tim Walz (Gov MN) Jacob Frey (Mayor MN), Lyda Krewson (Mayor St. Louis), Gretchen Whitmer (Gov MI), Mike Duggan (Mayor Detroit) , Keisha Bottoms (Mayor Atlanta GA)

    (Listed here on this page are some of the socialists and far-left radicals who have infiltrated congress, senate, governors, and even mayors.)

    At least know who and what you are voting for.

    Democrats want to sell us that Biden is a "centrists." Joe's "centrist" policies include free health care for illegal aliens, trillions in taxes on the middle class, and once again, like his hero Obama, ship our jobs overseas and flooding our country with illegal aliens. Sounds pretty liberal to me? Bidens' policies almost mirror that of socialist Bernie Sanders's platform.

    The only ones cheering for Biden are Iran, China, Russia, N Korea, Antifa, BLM, Any country that owes the United States money, Democrats, Communists, Socialists, Illegal Aliens, and programmed unconscious white taxpayers.

    President Trump's Accomplishments.
    More accomplished in four years than Obama/Biden in eight!

    Vote Republican across the board.


    1. Free Healthcare for Illegal aliens, DACA, TPS recipients & their families. Taxpayer-funded with one estimate at $52 trillion.
    Biden Yes.
    Trump No.


    2. Citizenship for 30 to 50 million illegal aliens, DACA, TPS recipients, and their families with a cost of billions to taxpayers.
    Biden Yes.
    Trump No.

    3. De-fund Police. Biden is doing his best to walk this back. In the Senate (so there's a record), Kamala Harris called it “re-imagine law enforcement." Biden recently stated he was in favor, quote “redirecting law enforcement funds.” If Biden/Harris is elected, you know what will happen.
    Biden Yes.
    Trump No.


    4. Taxes. Biden has stated he will raise taxes to over 4 trillion. With this Democrat platform, he will have to.
    Biden Yes.

    5. Sanctuary Cities & States. Biden & Harris supports sanctuary cities.
    Biden Yes.
    Trump No.


    6. Immediately end all deportations of illegal aliens, Bernie’s website calls it a “moratorium” on deportations.
    Biden Yes.
    Trump No.

    7. Reparations for the race’s harmed by Caucasians (already starting in California) Biden & Kamala Harris committed to Al Sharpton to support Sheila Jackson Lee’s reparations bill in the House. Basically, a tax will be levied on all people of Caucasian descent in America. The funds distributed to African Americans.
    Biden Yes.
    Trump No.


    8. Coal / Fracking: I don't understand how voters in Ohio, Pennsylvania, Kentucky, Illinois, West Virginia can even consider voting for Biden? You do realize that as soon as Biden/Harris takes office. Fracking, Coal Mining jobs are long gone You're voting for your own unemployment in these states people. The Democrat Governors in these states know this and still support Biden. Sacrifice jobs of their citizens for a Biden Presidency.
    Biden Yes.
    Trump No.

    9. The 2nd Amendment will be under attack even more under Biden. Biden stated, "Beto O'Rourke will be his gun Czar," "Hel yeah I'm coming for your guns."
    Biden Yes.
    Trump No.

    10. Medicare for all: Ending of all private / employer-based health care Feds run everything. This is Kamala Harris's baby. Kiss goodbye to your healthcare plan if Biden/Harris is elected. Taxpayer-funded at a cost of trillions.
    Biden Yes.
    Trump No.

    11. Free college for all, including illegal aliens & non-citizens Bernie Sanders's plan adopted. (taxpayer-funded with estimates in the billions).
    Biden Yes.
    Trump No.

    12. Immediately decriminalize all illegal entry into our country. So no need for the Border Patrol.
    Biden Yes.
    Trump No.

    13. Open Borders.
    Biden Yes.
    Trump No.

    14. De-fund & terminate border patrol & ICE. Funds redistributed to other programs.
    Biden Yes.
    Trump No.

    If Biden is elected President America will be on fire by leftist terrorists only Biden won't send federal officers to help. Biden/Harris will support the rioters as they, and the Democrat party have throughout.

    Kamala "stands with the protesters" rioters.

    Thank you for reading.

  7. I disagree I think it’s PA because Wisconsin and Michigan are pretty safe for Biden so PA is the only state he needs to flip but regardless great vid

  8. I think Trump will carry North Carolina by less than 1% and Cal Cunningham will win the senate by less than 2% or 1%. It’s going to be very close. Besides the scandal, Cunningham is a great candidate.

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