Which Presidential Election Model do YOU like BEST?

Which Presidential Election Model do YOU like BEST?





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Purpose of the channel:
I am a political science major who spends all my free time learning about contemporary US politics. I have a distinct interest in the study of US elections and campaigns which is the focus of my channel. My most common videos consist of me filling out a Presidential electoral map with different color classifications for each state that represent how competitive I think each state will be. Still, I do many other videos that cover the US Senate elections, US House elections, Vice Presidential selection, how each candidate’s campaign strategy, hypothetical Presidential matchups in the future and in the past, analysis of primary and general election.
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Common Q and A:
► What are my ratings for my electoral maps (lean, likely, etc.)?
Tilt: Less than 2%, Lean: 2-5%, Likely: 5-12%, Safe: 12%+
► Will I continue with my Youtube channel after the 2020 elections?
Yes!
► What will I change your name to after the 2020 elections are over?
I will let my subscribers vote on this, but I am leaning toward “Ben’s Election Predictions” right now
► What are my personal political views?
I choose not to broadcast them to my audience for the purpose of this channel. I try to be as unbiased as possible because I believe that lends credibility to my channel.
► What website do I use for my electoral projections?
YAPMS.com or 270toWin.com
► How often do I upload?
Usually once or twice a day
► When do I typically go live?
Usually once or twice a week towards the evening. I will announce when I do so though.
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I hope you enjoyed watching the video! Like, Comment & Subscribe! See you all next time! 🙂
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TAGS: Election Predictions | Election Night | 2020 Governor Senate Races – 2020 Midterms Elections | 2018 Predictions | 2020 Polls | Will Democrats win in 2020 | 2020 Senate Predictions | 2020 Election | 2020 Map | 2020 Races | 2020 Projections | Can Democrats win the Senate? | Will Democrats win midterms | 2020 Senate Elections | 2020 Midterm Elections | Will Democrats win Midterms? | Will Republicans Lose in 2020? | Will Republicans win in 2020? | Will Republicans Lose Seats? | 2020 Midterm Predictions | Will Democrats Take the House? | Will Republicans Retain the House? | Why are Democrats losing in the Polls? | Democrats Republicans will never win again | Donald Trump 2020 | Joe Biden 2020 | 2020 Democratic Wave | Democrats in 2020 | Democratic Convention | Donald Trump Wins | Donald Trump Loses | Impeachment | Democrats Win | Republicans Win | Joe Biden Wins 2020 | Joe Biden Loses 2020 | Who Will Win? | Bernie Sanders 2020 | Justin Amash 2020 | Third Party | Election Polls | Polling Data | 2020 Election Data | FiveThirtyEight 2020 | Winning Senate | Senate Majority | House Majority | Governorship | Kamala Harris | Amy Klobuchar | Mike Pence
#trump2020 #biden2020


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About the Author: 2020 Election Predictions

9 Comments

  1. That the Republicans have an advantage in the Electoral College, due both to the additional electoral weight given to lesser populated and more rural states through the 2 votes all states receive based on representation in the Senate; and the winner take all aspect that discounts the large Democratic majorities in New York and California and gives the Republicans a real advantage when they win Florida and Texas by much smaller margins, could actually be turned into a long term electoral advantage if properly addressed by the both Democratic candidates and Democratic Party's organization.

    This advantage could be gained by having to go into rural states such as Kansas and Montana; as well as sun belt states such as South Carolina and Arizona and attract voters in those states by supporting policies and programs that could directly improve the lives of those citizens, regardless of whether they live on farms or small towns; or in suburbs and cities. Popular life affirming policies are not the same as reactive populist positions. If the needs of these communities and regions were better met by an empathic Democratic Party, then those places could eventually come to understand the needs and concerns of the various racial, ethnic, religious, and sexual orientation groups that remain to be addressed.

    This would not be easy, a recent immigrant from a conservative religious community, would not have much in common with a socially progressive city resident. The basic desires for a better life and increased economic opportunities could be a place that both of those types of voters could coalesce around. At the base of such politics would have to be policies based in the principles of tolerance and domestic peace.

  2. 269-269 Electoral College tie is not necessarily a Trump victory. It could mean a Nancy Pelosi Acting Presidency come 1/21/2021!

    Why? Because it's very possible the House Vote by state could be a 25-25 Tie (isn't it 24-21 with Minnesota, Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Florida in ties of House members now?) and the Senate is predicted to be more likely 50-50 (also there are legal scholars who say senators must vote for the one who gets above 50%)? If you proceed with a video on this Tie Breaking, please do a thorough research (legal and data). Very interesting topic? Not that simple either in the Ultimate Tie Scenario.

  3. Probably RCP for me, 538 while good, it takes 95% of all the polling out there, they leave out DI why that leave out…? All these sights are missing the silent Trump vote, only Tralfagar uses a margin of error configuring that, while it may lean right, State wide I believer their model is quite accurate. IMHO

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