The Most Accurate 2020 Presidential Prediction was…

The Most Accurate 2020 Presidential Prediction was...

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Purpose of the channel:
I am a political science major who spends all my free time learning about contemporary US politics. I have a distinct interest in the study of US elections and campaigns which is the focus of my channel. My most common videos consist of me filling out a Presidential electoral map with different color classifications for each state that represent how competitive I think each state will be. Still, I do many other videos that cover the US Senate elections, US House elections, Vice Presidential selection, how each candidate’s campaign strategy, hypothetical Presidential matchups in the future and in the past, analysis of primary and general election.
Common Q and A:
► What are my ratings for my electoral maps (lean, likely, etc.)?
Tilt: Less than 2%, Lean: 2-5%, Likely: 5-12%, Safe: 12%+
► Will I continue with my Youtube channel after the 2020 elections?
► What will I change your name to after the 2020 elections are over?
I will let my subscribers vote on this, but I am leaning toward “Ben’s Election Predictions” right now
► What are my personal political views?
I choose not to broadcast them to my audience for the purpose of this channel. I try to be as unbiased as possible because I believe that lends credibility to my channel.
► What website do I use for my electoral projections? or
► How often do I upload?
Usually once or twice a day
► When do I typically go live?
Usually once or twice a week towards the evening. I will announce when I do so though.
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TAGS: Election Predictions | Election Night | 2020 Governor Senate Races – 2020 Midterms Elections | 2018 Predictions | 2020 Polls | Will Democrats win in 2020 | 2020 Senate Predictions | 2020 Election | 2020 Map | 2020 Races | 2020 Projections | Can Democrats win the Senate? | Will Democrats win midterms | 2020 Senate Elections | 2020 Midterm Elections | Will Democrats win Midterms? | Will Republicans Lose in 2020? | Will Republicans win in 2020? | Will Republicans Lose Seats? | 2020 Midterm Predictions | Will Democrats Take the House? | Will Republicans Retain the House? | Why are Democrats losing in the Polls? | Democrats Republicans will never win again | Donald Trump 2020 | Joe Biden 2020 | 2020 Democratic Wave | Democrats in 2020 | Democratic Convention | Donald Trump Wins | Donald Trump Loses | Impeachment | Democrats Win | Republicans Win | Joe Biden Wins 2020 | Joe Biden Loses 2020 | Who Will Win? | Bernie Sanders 2020 | Justin Amash 2020 | Third Party | Election Polls | Polling Data | 2020 Election Data | FiveThirtyEight 2020 | Winning Senate | Senate Majority | House Majority | Governorship | Kamala Harris | Amy Klobuchar | Mike Pence
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About the Author: 2020 Election Predictions


  1. I just took took the 2016 poll miss numbers and added or deducted them to the 2020 polls which boiled down to the map we had now. Got most of them right, with NC and Georgia swapping. really did not expect Georgia to actually vote for Biden.

  2. i think 538 needs to make it clear that they just aggregate polls and show the uncertainties. polling is definitely important but is clearly flawed. predictit isnt perfect either (they had minnesota, nh, nv, mi, and wi all about the same ) generally speaking prediction markets take into account all info and averages the publics opinion (influenced by polls, models, data, etc).

  3. This is what I had on Nov 3rd. And I did quite well for myself.
    Senate Prediction:
    Senate Results:
    President Prediction:
    President Results:
    Governor Prediction:
    Governor Results:
    House Prediction:
    House Results:
    Margins: tilt 0-2% lean 2-4%, likely 4-8%, solid 8%+
    I’m only upset with my the house forecast the most. I favored republicans by 9 seats during the 2018 Democratic wave and I favored democrats by 14 seats this year. Because there’s so many house races. I didn’t look at each house race. But I just used the 2018 midterm results and Predicted how it might turnout in 2020. I should have not used 2018 as a baseline especially considering how well polls did in 2018 and how much of a good night it was for democrats.

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