The 2020 Presidential Election Will Come Down To THIS STATE!

The 2020 Presidential Election Will Come Down To THIS STATE!





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Purpose of the channel:
I am a political science major who spends all my free time learning about contemporary US politics. I have a distinct interest in the study of US elections and campaigns which is the focus of my channel. My most common videos consist of me filling out a Presidential electoral map with different color classifications for each state that represent how competitive I think each state will be. Still, I do many other videos that cover the US Senate elections, US House elections, Vice Presidential selection, how each candidate’s campaign strategy, hypothetical Presidential matchups in the future and in the past, analysis of primary and general election.
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Common Q and A:
► What are my ratings for my electoral maps (lean, likely, etc.)?
Tilt: Less than 2%, Lean: 2-5%, Likely: 5-12%, Safe: 12%+
► Will I continue with my Youtube channel after the 2020 elections?
Yes!
► What will I change your name to after the 2020 elections are over?
I will let my subscribers vote on this, but I am leaning toward “Ben’s Election Predictions” right now
► What are my personal political views?
I choose not to broadcast them to my audience for the purpose of this channel. I try to be as unbiased as possible because I believe that lends credibility to my channel.
► What website do I use for my electoral projections?
YAPMS.com or 270toWin.com
► How often do I upload?
Usually once or twice a day
► When do I typically go live?
Usually once or twice a week towards the evening. I will announce when I do so though.
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I hope you enjoyed watching the video! Like, Comment & Subscribe! See you all next time! 🙂
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TAGS: Election Predictions | Election Night | 2020 Governor Senate Races – 2020 Midterms Elections | 2018 Predictions | 2020 Polls | Will Democrats win in 2020 | 2020 Senate Predictions | 2020 Election | 2020 Map | 2020 Races | 2020 Projections | Can Democrats win the Senate? | Will Democrats win midterms | 2020 Senate Elections | 2020 Midterm Elections | Will Democrats win Midterms? | Will Republicans Lose in 2020? | Will Republicans win in 2020? | Will Republicans Lose Seats? | 2020 Midterm Predictions | Will Democrats Take the House? | Will Republicans Retain the House? | Why are Democrats losing in the Polls? | Democrats Republicans will never win again | Donald Trump 2020 | Joe Biden 2020 | 2020 Democratic Wave | Democrats in 2020 | Democratic Convention | Donald Trump Wins | Donald Trump Loses | Impeachment | Democrats Win | Republicans Win | Joe Biden Wins 2020 | Joe Biden Loses 2020 | Who Will Win? | Bernie Sanders 2020 | Justin Amash 2020 | Third Party | Election Polls | Polling Data | 2020 Election Data | FiveThirtyEight 2020 | Winning Senate | Senate Majority | House Majority | Governorship | Kamala Harris | Amy Klobuchar | Mike Pence
#trump2020 #biden2020


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#Presidential #Election #STATE

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About the Author: 2020 Election Predictions

20 Comments

  1. Attention to all readers: Please be aware of phony anti Democratic comments…in ALL social media outlets. Youtube is not responsible, for example ,of this exploitation – as ANYONE in the world with access to the internet can sign up for a youtube account…they are the pawn being used by the mindless cretins trying to influence our democratic election process…..so if you see a nasty "republican type comment"…please be aware this COULD BE , for example a Russian BOT denigrating the Biden Harris campaign…..Thank you.

  2. Earth 1 to Earth 2 Trump knows he is behind in Rust Belt. No way will Biden lose his birth state. Trump won't win re-election due to the fact he is concentrating on CHEATING and not winning. Older voters don't like cheaters or LIARS.

  3. No, no it won't. Trump won 30 States last time and he will win at least 33 this time.

    Why not do a video looking at the disparity in who is being sampled in these Polls. Each one I see has Dem +5 to +over 10. If more 50/50 or not over-sampling the under-29, Feeble Joe has little to no lead.

  4. I always appreciate your videos and analysis but you are way off on this one. Every trend and demographic is pointing to a Trump victory. Unlike in Wisconsin or Michigan, turnout in PA (specifically Philly) was very high in 2016. This turnout will not increase by much. The slightly increased turnout will be outweighed by Trumps increased approval in the Latino and Black communities.

    PA is a state that has been trending right for a long time. Republicans have 180,000 more net registrations since 2016. Trump has also established a HUGE ground game. His campaign is knocking on thousands of doors everyday.

    Even Nate Silver mentions in that article that Trump only increased rural turnout by 4 points from 2012. Trump is going to turnout even more rural voters from 2016. He has many more votes available in the state of PA.

    There simply are not enough dem votes in this state. I'm thinking Trump will win by a wider margin than he did in 2016.

  5. I would encourage the owner of this channel to look at registered voter counts. The shifts in registered voters in certain counties is extremely telling for how a state will vote in an election. I am old hat at figuring out the electoral college. I nailed every single state in 2016 except Wisconsin. I’m telling you right now, Trump will win PA by more than 100,000 votes.

  6. My Prediction for Pennsylvania
    Biden 52.5%
    Trump 46.5%
    Reasons
    1. Incumbents avg drop of 1.45%
    2. Districts Party control is 9 republicans 9 democrats.
    3. Democrats in 2018 across all races had an avg margin of victory of 7.5%

  7. One of the better channels this one. And I am grateful that you leave your own biases out of it. Keep it up channel and always be honest on your vids.
    Tnx a million presenter.

    Auckland. NZ

  8. In Nate Silvers article he stated that the Rural vote went from 53% turnout for Romney to 57% turnout to Trump, a pick up, but what you also see there are a lot of votes on the table for Trump, Trump didn't even come close to maxing out in PA, the Union voters out there are not voting for Biden, the Urban areas will pick up as well, it could be a wash, and perhaps Trump gains a couple of Johnson voters as well, I see PA as advantage Trump.

  9. I kinda disagree because Michigan, Wisconsin, and Arizona will go Biden which gives Biden the win. I do think pa will go Biden, but’s it’s irrelevant as these other states will go Biden easy

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