THE 2020 ELECTION WILL BE VERY EASY TO PREDICT!

THE 2020 ELECTION WILL BE VERY EASY TO PREDICT!





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27 Comments

  1. I'm surprised so few people don't think the tipping point state will be Michigan. My sense is Biden will have to 68 including Arizona and Florida and the next state after that will be the tipping point state. That state will be one of North Carolina Pennsylvania Michigan or New Hampshire. I leave westconsin off the list because if westconsin goes to Biden at least one of Michigan or Pennsylvania will go 1st.

  2. Trump does need Florida. Unfortunately, with COVID-19 so out of control and Trump associated with the virus in people’s minds it’s not looking good for him. It’s a shame because before the virus hit Trump led us with 3 years of a roaring economy and record unemployment among other meaningful accomplishments like creating the deregulatory environment that brought manufacturing jobs back and erased the barriers for start-ups. That’s all forgotten now though and it’s going to lead to lots of regulations, higher taxes, bloated government, and jobs leaving because we won’t be able to compete globally again. It really is disheartening, but that’s what America has been convinced it wants via the main stream media. Just voicing what I’m observing. I’m sure I’ll get roasted and/or totally ignored.

  3. I base Florida on when it is called. I'm in the UK and in 2016 when it still wasn't called by 3am (GMT) I knew it was going to Trumpinton and he would win. The getting concerened point this time will be about 2am (GMT).

  4. I disagree regarding FL and the polls. FL (like GA) had candidates who deployed effective voter suppression. As with many places in the U.S. (NC and PA come to mind) there is quite a bit of systemic rigging in favor of the GOP.

  5. 7:12 Incorrect. Several Presidents have won the election without winning Florida. They are JFK in 1960 and Bill Clinton in 1992. Both lost Florida but won the election. Perot did siphon votes off of Clinton but he siphoned tons off Bush as well, so Bush may very well have won the state without Perot. And you're engaging in conspiracy by saying Nixon won the election but Kennedy became POTUS because of election fraud.

  6. Thanks for using polling data.
    Considering that Florida has a PVI of R+2, it is to the right of the rest of the country. If Biden wins Florida by 4 to 6 points, as the polls suggest he might, that would suggest other Republican leaning states have also moved toward Biden.
    It would be interesting to do a video where Biden wins Florida by various points and see how that might bring other states in to Biden's column. Examples could be Arizona, Wisconsin, North Carolina, Iowa, Ohio, and Texas. Yes, even Texas.

    I am curious how many points Biden would have to win in Florida by in order to win most or all of the swing states.

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