2020 Presidential Election Prediction (Using Demographic Controls)

2020 Presidential Election Prediction (Using Demographic Controls)





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Purpose of the channel:
I am a political science major who spends all my free time learning about contemporary US politics. I have a distinct interest in the study of US elections and campaigns which is the focus of my channel. My most common videos consist of me filling out a Presidential electoral map with different color classifications for each state that represent how competitive I think each state will be. Still, I do many other videos that cover the US Senate elections, US House elections, Vice Presidential selection, how each candidate’s campaign strategy, hypothetical Presidential matchups in the future and in the past, analysis of primary and general election.
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Common Q and A:
► What are my ratings for my electoral maps (lean, likely, etc.)?
Tilt: Less than 2%, Lean: 2-5%, Likely: 5-12%, Safe: 12%+
► Will I continue with my Youtube channel after the 2020 elections?
Yes!
► What will I change your name to after the 2020 elections are over?
I will let my subscribers vote on this, but I am leaning toward “Ben’s Election Predictions” right now
► What are my personal political views?
I choose not to broadcast them to my audience for the purpose of this channel. I try to be as unbiased as possible because I believe that lends credibility to my channel.
► What website do I use for my electoral projections?
YAPMS.com or 270toWin.com
► How often do I upload?
Usually once or twice a day
► When do I typically go live?
Usually once or twice a week towards the evening. I will announce when I do so though.
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I hope you enjoyed watching the video! Like, Comment & Subscribe! See you all next time! 🙂
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TAGS: Election Predictions | Election Night | 2020 Governor Senate Races – 2020 Midterms Elections | 2018 Predictions | 2020 Polls | Will Democrats win in 2020 | 2020 Senate Predictions | 2020 Election | 2020 Map | 2020 Races | 2020 Projections | Can Democrats win the Senate? | Will Democrats win midterms | 2020 Senate Elections | 2020 Midterm Elections | Will Democrats win Midterms? | Will Republicans Lose in 2020? | Will Republicans win in 2020? | Will Republicans Lose Seats? | 2020 Midterm Predictions | Will Democrats Take the House? | Will Republicans Retain the House? | Why are Democrats losing in the Polls? | Democrats Republicans will never win again | Donald Trump 2020 | Joe Biden 2020 | 2020 Democratic Wave | Democrats in 2020 | Democratic Convention | Donald Trump Wins | Donald Trump Loses | Impeachment | Democrats Win | Republicans Win | Joe Biden Wins 2020 | Joe Biden Loses 2020 | Who Will Win? | Bernie Sanders 2020 | Justin Amash 2020 | Third Party | Election Polls | Polling Data | 2020 Election Data | FiveThirtyEight 2020 | Winning Senate | Senate Majority | House Majority | Governorship | Kamala Harris | Amy Klobuchar | Mike Pence
#trump2020 #biden2020


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24 Comments

  1. It seems as though you silly pollsters don't get it and haven't learned since 2016, well you're about find out that there is a new political term called, "The Silent Majority" and they will overwhelmingly speak for Donald J Trump next week Tuesday night. Without question!

    Forget about early voting and absentee ballots, Trump's voters will run up the polls like none ever before marking a history milestone.

  2. Trump's is America's first president not paying enough taxes, but paying enough taxes to Peking China, and he says tax evasion is normal,so he wants to leave US to escape all the court cases, Trump's Make 220 thousand Americans died in Coronavirus

  3. Trump's is America's first president not paying enough taxes, but paying enough taxes to Peking China, and he says tax evasion is normal,so he wants to leave US to escape all the court cases, Trump's Make 220 thousand Americans died in Coronavirus 🤣

  4. The population of the USA hasn't grown 5%, but has grown about 1% since 2016.

    Lol, guess this year especially, you are hoping there isn't a surge in Democratic voters during the last couple of hours.,

  5. Junk anything from Nate Silver. He’s a failed sports bettor and fraud.

    Dems losing student votes (closures), Black votes (racist Biden + Trump outreach + Kanye), and informed taxpayer votes (Biden cancelling Trump Tax Cut is a tax increase). Trump wins easily

  6. I don't buy the premise of this video. There are too many complications. From whites shifting to Biden by 10 points to black men shifting to Trump by up to 10 points to Cubans in Florida going more to Trump to Puerto Ricans and other Hispanics going more to Biden. Then depending on which state even those shifts are different. FORGET IT! The most important demographic in this election are Party ID.

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